Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 5.218110 5.678473 6.192272 6.815007 7.558989 8.432413 9.556162
2025-01-12 4.399224 4.950097 5.605172 6.460880 7.581166 9.050385 11.227648
2025-01-19 3.801771 4.378917 5.097162 6.090124 7.490001 9.513638 12.960233
2025-01-26 3.581372 4.236656 5.096728 6.371854 8.353882 11.652642 18.745333
2025-02-02 3.520173 4.289202 5.361676 7.092341 10.153579 16.462534 37.976646
2025-02-09 3.357077 4.181101 5.384605 7.464678 11.592177 22.242180 101.492487
2025-02-16 3.183759 4.036014 5.329114 7.701228 12.948672 30.423878 26209.018524
2025-02-23 3.016282 3.879449 5.231379 7.843436 14.245827 42.961357 NaN
2025-03-02 2.783898 3.601491 4.898726 7.460225 14.031163 48.547724 NaN
2025-03-09 2.625311 3.423617 4.713156 7.338952 14.542824 64.415272 NaN
2025-03-16 2.440745 3.190813 4.409206 6.914359 13.939916 67.971162 NaN
2025-03-23 2.337384 3.078834 4.304016 6.900599 14.718015 105.873459 NaN
2025-03-30 2.220147 2.949515 4.178567 6.877642 15.755957 258.227759 NaN
2025-04-06 2.077699 2.770058 3.946317 6.568838 15.543686 519.222801 NaN
2025-04-13 1.944522 2.597930 3.713408 6.223049 15.022786 1130.816386 NaN
2025-04-20 1.901869 2.572082 3.749295 6.546353 18.018961 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 1.903146 2.619891 3.933249 7.332694 26.014852 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 1.864882 2.596222 3.973441 7.752776 34.344116 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 1.816657 2.550905 3.963197 8.026159 44.451046 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.764702 2.494817 3.923108 8.195432 57.020778 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.681224 2.376200 3.734891 7.793008 53.702358 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.621705 2.298242 3.629825 7.670516 58.853775 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.546406 2.187673 3.444266 7.217851 51.541496 NaN NaN